“Are Forced Migrants More Skilled? A Theoretical Model of Self-Selection in Forced Migration” is the title of an article that fills a gap in theories of forced migration. Our director, Nermin Oruc, coauthored this article with Ian Jackson and Geoffrey Pugh. The article is presenting a new model, motivated by specific features of forced migration during a conflict which does not feature in existing migration models. Authors incorporate the relative deprivation hypothesis and a new “restoration” hypothesis in order to better explain forced migration as a two-stage process, which starts with conflict and, in some cases, forced displacement in the first stage and continues with emigration in the second stage.
The article can be found here.